Consensus NFL Draft Big Board: Offense

I haven’t posted very much about the upcoming NFL Draft for a couple reasons. First, I’m no talent scout and won’t pretend that I have any special insight into which college players will blossom into stars in the NFL. Second, as Bill Barnwell and Chase Stuart have noted in the past couple days, it’s not entirely clear that even the best NFL general managers have that sort of insight, either. As much as we’d all like to think otherwise, the draft is a crapshoot in a lot of ways and just because Ted Thompson and John Schneider have had some great drafts in the past few years doesn’t necessarily mean they’re going to keep hitting home runs this year. Same logic applies in reverse to  Jeff Ireland and Buddy Nix.

However, I think there is some value in gleaning the wisdom of crowds – that is, paying particular note to players who are rated consistently high across the board by a wide range of draft observers. So over the next couple of days, I’ll be looking at the draft big boards of five different websites and taking a look at each player’s average ranking, then posting the consensus top 32 players on both offense and defense. The five authors/websites I used for this exercise were:

Charlie Campbell (CC), Walterfootball.com

Rob Rang (RR), NFLDraftScout.com

Scott Wright (SW), draftcountdown.com

Mike Mayock (MM), NFL.com

Authors unknown, Draftek.com (DT)

Today, we start with offense. And as you’re about to see, the draftniks clearly find this year’s crop to be below-average, particularly once you get past the run of highly-regarded offensive linemen…

Consensus Top-Five Prospects:

1. Luke Joeckel, tackle, Texas A&M. 

  • Average big board rank: 1.6.
  • High: (CC, RR, DT).
  • Low: (MM)

2. Eric Fisher, tackle, Central Michigan.

  • Average big board rank: 2.2
  • High: (SW, MM)
  • Low: (CC)

Consensus Top-Ten Prospects:

3. Jonathan Cooper, guard, North Carolina.

  • Average big board rank: 7.4
  • High: (SW)
  • Low: (CC)

4. Lane Johnson, tackle, Oklahoma.

  • Average big board rank: 7.8
  • High: (MM)
  • Low: 10 (CC)

5. Chance Warmack, guard, Alabama.

  • Average big board rank: 8.6
  • High: (MM)
  • Low: 14 (DT)

Consensus First-Round-Worthy Prospects:

6. Tavon Austin, wide receiver, West Virginia.

  • Average big board rank: 17.4
  • High: 12 (MM)
  • Low: 30 (SW)

7. Tyler Eifert, tight end, Notre Dame.

  • Average big board rank: 20.4
  • High: 13 (MM)
  • Low: 29 (CC)

8. Geno Smith, quarterback, West Virginia.

  • Average big board rank: 21.8
  • High: 17 (RR, DT)
  • Low: 30 (CC)

9. Cordarrelle Patterson, wide receiver, Tennessee.

  • Average big board rank: 22.0
  • High: 11 (RR)
  • Low: 30 (MM)

10. D.J. Fluker, tackle, Alabama.

  • Average big board rank: 24.2
  • High: 13 (SW)
  • Low: 48 (CC)

Consensus Late First Round/Early Second Round Prospects:

11. Justin Hunter, wide receiver, Tennessee.

  • Average big board rank: 32.6
  • High: 19 (CC)
  • Low: 45 (DT)

12. Keenan Allen, wide receiver, California.

  • Average big board rank: 32.6
  • High: 23 (RR)
  • Low: 47 (SW)

13. Eddie Lacy, running back, Alabama.

  • Average big board rank: 33.4
  • High: 18 (MM)
  • Low: 42 (CC)

14. DeAndre Hopkins, wide receiver, Clemson.

  • Average big board rank: 38.4
  • High: 28 (RR)
  • Low: 48 (DT)

15. Matt Barkley, quarterback, Southern California.

  • Average big board rank: 39.8
  • High: 18 (RR)
  • Low: 61 (DT)

Consensus Second-Round-Worthy Prospects:

16. Zach Ertz, tight end, Stanford.

  • Average big board rank: 42.2
  • High: 38 (RR, DT)
  • Low: 49 (CC)

17. Robert Woods, wide receiver, Southern California.

  • Average big board rank: 42.6
  • High: 25 (RR)
  • Low: 58 (CC)

18. Larry Warford, guard, Kentucky.

  • Average big board rank: 46.6
  • High: 26 (CC)
  • Low: 65 (SW)

Consensus Late Second Round/Early Third Round Prospects:

19. Giovani Bernard, running back, North Carolina.

  • Average big board rank: 57.2
  • High: 41 (CC)
  • Low: 74 (RR)

20. E.J. Manuel, quarterback, Florida State.

  • Average big board rank: 57.2
  • High: 41 (MM)
  • Low: 85 (CC)

21. Terrance Williams, wide receiver, Baylor.

  • Average big board rank: 58.8
  • High: 50 (CC)
  • Low: 71 (RR)

22. Ryan Nassib, quarterback, Syracuse.

  • Average big board rank: 60.6
  • High: 47 (DT)
  • Low: 98 (CC)

23. Menelik Watson, tackle, Florida State.

  • Average big board rank: 63.0
  • High: 31 (MM)
  • Low: Unlisted (CC)

24. Kyle Long, guard, Oregon.

  • Average big board rank: 64.4
  • High: 29 (MM)
  • Low: 122 (DT)

25. Justin Pugh, tackle, Syracuse.

  • Average big board rank: 64.6
  • High: 24 (MM)
  • Low: Unlisted (CC)

26. Montee Ball, running back, Wisconsin.

  • Average big board rank: 65.2
  • High: 37 (SW)
  • Low: 87 (DT)

27. Quinton Patton, wide receiver, Louisiana Tech.

  • Average big board rank: 65.8
  • High: 51 (RR)
  • Low: 78 (MM)

Consensus Third-Round-Worthy Prospects:

28. Tyler Wilson, quarterback, Arkansas.

  • Average big board rank: 71.0
  • High: 45 (RR)
  • Low: Unlisted (MM)

29. Johnathan Franklin, running back, UCLA.

  • Average big board rank: 73.0
  • High: 55 (RR)
  • Low: 100 (MM)

30. Tyler Bray, quarterback, Tennessee.

  • Average big board rank: 73.4
  • High: 40 (DT)
  • Low: Unlisted (RR)

31. Barrett Jones, center, Alabama.

  • Average big board rank: 74.2
  • High: 43 (CC)
  • Low: 94 (RR)

32. Terron Armstead, tackle, Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

  • Average big board rank: 75.0
  • High: 60 (RR)
  • Low: Unlisted (CC)
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